Monday, March 24, 2025

Strong economic stimulus, but… : Deepak Dwivedi

Deepak Dwivedi (Chairman, Editor-In-Chief, of BLITZ INDIA MEDIA)
Deepak Dwivedi (Chairman, Editor-In-Chief, of BLITZ INDIA MEDIA)

While festivals like the Maha Kumbh  increase the demand for goods and services, sustaining GDP growth beyond the event will be difficult without deeper structural reforms in manufacturing, exports, and private investment

Infrastructure deficits are another critical issue. While significant investments have been made in roads, sanitation, public transport, and other facilities to accommodate the massive influx of visitors, these improvements need to extend beyond temporary event-based enhancements. Many Indian cities still grapple with inadequate urban planning, congested transport networks, and unreliable public utilities. Without sustained infrastructure development, the economic benefits of events like the Kumbh Mela may be short-lived, and long-term productivity gains could remain limited.

Fiscal discipline is crucial. While Government spending on infrastructure and services stimulates economic activity, excessive expenditure without strong revenue streams could widen fiscal deficits. Ensuring public investments translate into long-term growth rather than short-lived boosts is essential. Leveraging tourism revenue and optimising taxation policies will be key.

To be sure, the economic boost from the Kumbh Mela will largely be temporary. While the festival increases demand for goods and services, sustaining GDP growth beyond the event will be difficult without deeper structural reforms in manufacturing, exports, and private investment. Similarly, although the event generates numerous jobs in tourism and retail, these are mostly low-skilled and short-term. India needs sustained employment growth in high-value industries to maintain economic momentum.

Global and domestic risks also pose challenges. Geopolitical tensions, oil price fluctuations, and slowing global demand could impact exports, while weak private investment and sluggish rural consumption continue to hinder growth.

Environmental and public health challenges add to these concerns. The Ganga faces severe pollution as millions bathe, wash clothes, and discard religious offerings. Untreated sewage and waste from temporary settlements further degrade water quality. Despite Government efforts, the sheer scale of the event makes pollution control difficult. Waste management is another issue, with tonnes of plastic, food packaging, and other debris accumulating daily. While authorities have done their utmost and implemented regulations and awareness campaigns, enforcement has always been a challenge.

Public health risks are significant. Overcrowding, limited access to clean water, and inadequate sanitation raise the likelihood of waterborne diseases like cholera and typhoid. Airborne infections, including influenza and tuberculosis, may also spread due to close contact. Past Kumbh Melas have seen outbreaks of respiratory and gastrointestinal illnesses, highlighting the need for stringent health measures.

While the Maha Kumbh Mela provides a strong economic stimulus, inflation risks, infrastructure gaps, fiscal concerns, and temporary job creation must be addressed for sustained growth. Without proactive waste management, pollution control, and healthcare preparedness, the festival’s benefits could be overshadowed by long-term ecological and health crises.

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