Crossing the 50 pc Line?

Blitz Bureau

NEW DELHI: THE Constitution guarantees equality through Articles 15 and 16, while also permitting “special provisions” for historically disadvantaged groups. Over decades, the Supreme Court has shaped this balance, most decisively in Indra Sawhney (1992), which capped reservations at 50 per cent, except in extraordinary circumstances. That principle was reaffirmed in 2021, when the court struck down Maharashtra’s Maratha quota. Yet, the introduction of the 10 per cent quota for Economically Weaker Sections (EWS) in 2019, upheld in 2022, demonstrated that Parliament and the judiciary remain open to carefully crafted exceptions.

In a landmark 2024 ruling (State of Punjab v. Davinder Singh), a sevenjudge Bench allowed sub-classification within SC and ST quotas, overturning a two-decade-old precedent. This recognition means governments can carve out sub-quotas for the most marginalised among disadvantaged groups, ensuring that the benefits of affirmative action are not monopolised by dominant sub-castes. For OBCs, the Rohini Commission has already documented that 97 per cent of reserved jobs and seats went to just 25 per cent of OBC sub-castes, while nearly a thousand communities saw no gains at all— strengthening the case for internal redistribution.

Data on the ground

The numbers tell a mixed story. In higher education, enrolment has risen sharply: 66 lakh SC students, 27 lakh ST students, and over 1.6 crore OBC students were enrolled in 2021-22, marking significant growth since 2014-15. In Central Government recruitment, OBC representation now consistently meets or exceeds the mandated 27 per cent. Yet, parliamentary committees continue to flag the need for clearing backlog vacancies and ensuring accurate reporting, indicating that formal quotas do not always translate into real representation.

Political pressures

Across states, demands to breach the 50 per cent ceiling are intensifying. Maharashtra has revived the Maratha quota under a new law, which the Bombay High Court has provisionally allowed while the Supreme Court examines its validity. Tamil Nadu continues to defend its 69 per cent quota shielded under the Ninth Schedule, though the court has made clear that even such laws remain reviewable. Other states, including Telangana and Jharkhand, are pressing for enhanced quotas based on caste survey data. Each push revives the tension between political demands for inclusion and the judicially enforced ceiling of equality.

The core dilemma remains unresolved: should India lift the 50 per cent cap to accommodate new claimants, or should it focus on ensuring that existing quotas benefit those most in need? The judiciary has signalled caution, warning against excessive reservation, yet it has also recognised that formal equality cannot undo centuries of exclusion.

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