US steel tariffs trip markets in India

Panic selling wipes out investor wealth of Rs 9.8 lakh crore;
RIL m-cap shrinks by Rs 80,000 crore

Investors would be well advised to tread with caution, and closely monitor global developments, particularly with respect to the US trade policy, as well as the RBI’s approach to managing interest rates and liquidity flows

With foreign institutional investors (FIIs) fleeing the market in droves and global trade tensions escalating, investor confidence took a serious hit. This wave of panic selling was intensified by global uncertainties, particularly trade tensions stemming from the US government’s imposition of a 25 per cent tariff on steel and aluminum imports. The resulting fears of a global trade war sent shockwaves through the market, exacerbating investor anxiety.

Selling pressure grew as Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) continued to exit the market, offloading equities worth Rs. 3,520 crore in a single day. This contributed to net outflows of Rs. 67,000 crore so far this year, a major blow to market sentiment. The India VIX, a key gauge of market volatility, surged by 14 per cent, signaling heightened fear across investor circles.

Reliance Industries, HDFC Bank, Tata Steel, and Infosys were among the major stocks struggling under this widespread sell-off. In particular, Reliance Industries saw its market capitalisation shrink by over Rs. 80,000 crore, as it dropped by 3.1 per cent. Small-cap and mid-cap stocks were also significantly affected, recording declines of 2.3 per cent and 1.9 per cent, respectively.

The market breadth remained overwhelmingly negative, with only 750 advancing stocks compared to 2,400 decliners on the BSE. Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) attempted to counterbalance these outflows, making net purchases of Rs. 1,200 crore. However, their efforts were insufficient to stem the tide of the market’s decline.

Disappointing corporate earnings added to the gloom, with companies like Eicher Motors and Escorts Kubota suffering declines post-weak Q3 FY25 performance. In addition to the trade-related concerns, the depreciating rupee contributed to the ongoing market turmoil by eroding returns for foreign investors.

The combination of these factors, including global trade policy shifts and domestic corporate performance, fostered a sense of deep uncertainty, knocking Indian markets down. Despite this carnage, many analysts believe that the core issues remain external to India’s economy itself. They note that India’s longterm economic fundamentals—ranging from a large consumer market to ongoing investments in infrastructure and the digital economy— remain strong.

However, the immediate outlook appears bleak, with analysts advising caution. Investors are encouraged to closely monitor global developments, particularly with respect to the US trade policy, as well as the RBI’s approach to managing interest rates and liquidity flows. The question of India’s resilience remains unanswered, as the current state of affairs suggests that these external shocks, combined with domestic issues, will continue to strain the capital markets. Although markets are often resilient in the long-term, the speed of recovery will ultimately depend on multiple variables, including the effectiveness of government and central bank measures alongside shifts in global economic conditions.

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