India needs to balance trade gains and risks

Blitz Bureau

The agreement between India and the United States on the framework for a 19-chapter bilateral trade pact marks a significant moment in New Delhi’s evolving role in global commerce. Trade partnerships have today acquired a new definition. They are no longer about give-and-take tariff concessions alone; they have become instruments of strategic alignment and economic security.

The US move to impose ā€˜reciprocal tariffs’ across nations, including a 26 per cent duty on Indian goods, was a sharp reminder of how swiftly trade policies can become tools of geopolitical leverage. That Washington granted a 90-day moratorium indicates not only the seriousness of the measures but also its willingness to negotiate with preferred partners. India’s prompt and measured response — choosing engagement over retaliation — has kept the doors open for a trade deal that could serve its long-term economic and strategic interests.

The fact that India finds itself ahead of even the UK in the queue for a US trade pact is telling. Washington views India as a crucial node in its effort to diversify supply chains away from China. And for India, the stakes are equally high. While the US seeks access to India’s burgeoning markets in sectors like dairy, electric vehicles, and digital commerce, New Delhi must use these talks to secure advantages for its labour-intensive exports and critical services sectors, particularly IT and pharmaceuticals.

Yet, India must tread carefully. Rushing to conclude a deal for short-term tariff relief could risk long-term policy space, particularly in sensitive areas such as e-commerce regulation, data governance, and agricultural market access. Minister Piyush Goyal’s cautious assessment — that a comprehensive deal may take up to six months — is a prudent stance.

While engaging with Washington, India should not become a mere pawn in a larger geopolitical struggle; it should pursue a path of pragmatic engagement that secures its economic interests while preserving its strategic autonomy

The broader opportunity for India lies not just in tariff concessions, but in repositioning itself as a reliable, rules-based manufacturing and technology hub for the Indo-Pacific region. As India and the US continue their high-stakes trade talks, India will do well to remain cautious and vigilant. It should steer clear of falling into a trap of becoming a mere pawn in a larger geopolitical struggle. New Delhi is well advised to pursue a path of pragmatic engagement that secures its economic interests while preserving its strategic autonomy. In doing so, India can emerge as a true global economic power.

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