India must act swiftly to navigate the global economic shifts. Strengthening domestic demand and diversifying manufacturing and supply chain operations by expanding beyond China to other countries can mitigate risks
A wave of uncertainty has gripped America. From boardrooms to kitchen tables, an unsettling question looms — what’s next for the economy? Consumer confidence is plunging, layoffs are mounting, and fear is stalking households and businesses alike. As inflation, trade policies, and job security concerns collide, millions brace for an unpredictable financial future.
The University of Michigan’s Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 57.9 in March, its lowest since November 2022, down from 64.7 in February. This drop is linked to President Trump’s newly imposed tariffs, expected to drive up prices and fuel further uncertainty. The LSEG / Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index for March also declined to 54.0, reflecting continued public unease.
Real fears haunt everyday Americans. A recent survey reveals that one in three Americans now suffer from ‘layoff anxiety’ amid widespread job cuts in 2025. Remote workers face heightened insecurity, with nearly 47 per cent fearing job loss. The anxiety is not confined to one demographic or political group — it stretches across all segments of society, amplifying the sense of economic unease.
Retail spending is shifting, with consumers cutting back on discretionary purchases. Sales of electronics, furniture, and luxury goods are expected to decline, while discount retailers such as Walmart and Dollar General may benefit as households seek budget-friendly options.
The automotive sector is also bracing for impact. Many consumers are likely to postpone purchasing new cars due to high interest rates and financial uncertainty, fuelling demand for used vehicles and repairs instead.
The housing market faces headwinds as higher mortgage rates and declining confidence deter potential buyers. Home sales are expected to slow, weakening price growth. However, rental demand may increase as homeownership becomes less affordable, benefiting landlords and rental property firms.
Banks and financial institutions are navigating a turbulent landscape. Lower consumer confidence could lead to reduced borrowing and rising loan delinquencies. Credit card spending may slow, while stock market volatility threatens investment banking stability. However, banks with strong deposit bases may benefit from higher interest rates.
The travel and hospitality sector is another casualty of economic unease. As vacations become a luxury, airlines and high-end hotels could struggle, while budget travel options like Airbnb and discount airlines may gain popularity.
Meanwhile, technology and energy sectors face mixed prospects. Price-conscious consumers may delay buying expensive gadgets, while budget-friendly streaming services remain resilient. Oil demand could weaken, affecting energy prices, but essential utilities should remain stable. India must act swiftly to navigate these global economic shifts. Strengthening domestic demand, diversifying trade, and leveraging the China+1 strategy can mitigate risks. Stabilising financial markets and enhancing supply chain resilience will be crucial. As storm clouds gather over the economy, policymakers and businesses must move decisively to steer through the uncertainty.
