Impact of US tariffs on Australian economy to remain ‘relatively small’

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor and Chief Economist Sarah Hunter said on Friday that US President Donald Trump’s 25 per cent tariffs on all steel and aluminum imports will have a “relatively small” impact on Australia’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

“We’re not as exposed as other countries,” she told a parliamentary inquiry in Canberra.

“Tariffs can have really dislocating impacts in the short term, and that’s what can generate these big downturns in their economy, and have implications both for GDP and for inflation. Here, our trade patterns are different.”

The Australian government is pushing for an exemption from the steel and aluminum tariffs after being excluded from similar tariffs during Trump’s first term as president.

Hunter said that the effect of the tariffs on Australia’s economy would be dependent on how other nations respond.

The board of governors of the RBA on Tuesday lowered the official cash rate target by 25 basis points to 4.1 per cent, marking the first cut to the key interest rate since November 2020, Xinhua news agency reported.

The decision was made after Australia’s annual headline rate of inflation fell to 2.4 per cent in December, down from a peak of 7.8 per cent in December 2022.

Michele Bullock, governor of the RBA, admitted on Friday that the central bank was “too slow” to respond to rising inflation.

The RBA increased the cash rate target 13 times between May 2022 and November 2023 from a record-low of 0.1 per cent to 4.35 per cent.

“Arguably we were late raising interest rates on the way up. We didn’t respond as quickly as we should have to rising inflation,” Bullock said.

She reiterated that the bank will be “cautious” about future interest rate cuts, warning that premature cuts could delay or derail the fight against inflation. (IANS)

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